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The construction of a new model of real estate development is expected to make positive progress. From December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing. The meeting emphasized "stabilizing the property market and stock market". Specific to the key tasks to be done next year, the meeting made it clear that "the real estate market will continue to exert efforts to stop falling and stabilize" and "promote the construction of a new model of real estate development". Experts interviewed generally believe that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the property market and further clarify the policy direction of the real estate sector next year. In 2025, relevant policies to promote the stabilization of the real estate market will continue to exert their strength, and the construction of basic systems related to the new model of real estate development is expected to make positive progress. (Securities Daily)In the first 11 months, nearly 90% of stock strategy private equity products realized floating profit. According to the latest statistics released by private placement network, in the first 11 months of this year, the average yield of stock strategy products of private equity institutions with only performance display in 2014 was 18.65%, of which 1753 products realized floating profit, accounting for 87.04%. Specifically, among the sub-strategy products of stock strategy products, subjective multi-strategy products lead the way. The data shows that in the first 11 months of this year, the average yield of 1342 subjective multi-strategy products with performance display was 20.25%, of which 1137 products realized floating profit, accounting for 84.72%. Although the performance of quantitative long strategy products is not as good as that of subjective long strategy products, the gap is not obvious. The data shows that in the first 11 months of this year, the average yield of 460 quantitative long strategy products with performance display was 18.18%, of which 444 products realized floating profit, accounting for 96.52%. (Securities Daily)When the yield of 10-year treasury bonds falls below 1.8%, we need to be alert to the risk of callback. In the past two weeks, the yield of 10-year treasury bonds has fallen rapidly, breaking through several key points one after another, and the market sentiment has soared. While the favorable monetary policy promotes the bond bull market, the hidden risks behind the bond market are gradually emerging. In the market environment with high expected consistency and crowded transactions, the recent rectification measures may further aggravate the fluctuation of net value and trigger redemption pressure. In the face of this bond market carnival, market participants should not only enjoy the market, but also be alert to the potential callback risk. (SSE)

Antaike: The global nickel industry surplus is expected to narrow, and the nickel price may decline. The Antaike report shows that the nickel price will rise and fall in the first half of 2024, because the supporting cost below is still there. After the price reached a staged low in late July, the whole price showed a pattern of bottoming out and falling resistance, and the upward and downward momentum was not strong. Returning to the fundamentals itself, oversupply and the staged improvement of downstream consumption have limited room for price rise. On the whole, the price of nickel basically fluctuated within a narrow range this year. The highest nickel in Shanghai was 160,000, and the lowest was 119,000, mainly in the range of 120,000-140,000. Looking forward to the next year, it is expected that the upward and downward momentum of nickel price is not strong, and the main contradiction is still on the supply side. In 2025, it is expected that the price difference between products and inside and outside will further converge, and the price center of gravity will move down. It is expected that the nickel will be in the range of 14,500-18,500 US dollars/ton; The range of Shanghai nickel is 120,000-170,000 yuan/ton.It is difficult to "choose a base" for the people in thousands of miles. How to solve the problem of consignment agencies, Public Offering of Fund's development is marching forward, and 10,000 funds compete on the same stage. Since the beginning of this year, the scale and quantity of Public Offering of Fund have hit record highs, and investors are also facing the "one in a million" difficulty in choosing a base. As a key link to solve this problem, the agency is speeding up its exploration. In the interview, the reporter learned that with the continuous strengthening of supervision and the continuous promotion of Public Offering of Fund's rate reform, the consignment agencies that have accelerated the reshuffle in the industry competition are deeply impressed by the traditional seller's sales thinking, and have explored the road of differentiated and characteristic services and accelerated the transformation to the buyer's investment mode. However, at present, the buyer's investment model in China is still in the early stage of development, and there are shortcomings such as low investor acceptance and insufficient technical allocation of institutional talents. The transformation of consignment agencies still has a long way to go and needs further refined development. (Securities Daily)Zhongjin's fixed income: the financing demand is weak under the background of debt conversion, and the monetary policy needs to continue to increase. Zhongjin's fixed income commented on the financial data in November, saying that it is expected that the currency will be loose or significantly accelerated next year, while the short-term interest rate may have a large downside. Under the background of slow real estate recovery, the domestic economy has stabilized relatively moderately, and the long-term interest rate has been affected or relatively limited. Next year, monetary and fiscal cooperation will be closer, and the supply factor of government bonds may not have much disturbance to the long end. Recently, the market has fully priced loose expectations, and the long-term interest rate has dropped rapidly. Next year, with the RRR cut, the short-term interest rate will fall or accelerate, and the yield curve will move down sharply.

Us treasury secretary yellen: the United States and its allies may lower the price ceiling imposed on Russian oil export prices.Market News: The Chief Veterinary Officer of USDA said that USDA does not expect to complete the necessary steps to resume importing Mexican cattle before the end of the holiday.CICC: Give GM an initial rating that outperforms the broader market, with a target price of $65.